Saturday, May 07, 2005

Asteroid Aoun15FPM-070505

Today, Lebanon is bracing for the return of General Michael Aoun, an army commander who assumed the role of prime minister in the final phase of the Lebanese war. He was exiled to France after he failed to defeat the Syrian Army thrust into all of Lebanon and has been an active voice in the opposition to Syrian hegemony for the past 15 years from his residence in Paris and through his Free Patriotic Movement on the ground.

I was only 12 years old when he was exiled to France and to say that I remember the events of that period would be false.
What I do recall is hearing his name peppered into many newscasts and heated political debates. And today, at 5 pm, he will be back.

Some Lebanese are overjoyed, others are modestly content, and yet others are privately enraged. One Lebanese politician today described the return as a political 'tsunami', to go along with the 'earthquake' of Hariri's assassination.

I don't pretend to have the political savvy to analyze the many dimensions of this return.

I'd rather think of it as an asteroid impact:
Too weak and it will fizzle away, too strong and it can annihilate the planet.

Gently does it...


Blogger BP said...

I don't think Aoun's effect will fizzle away. I think you should change your mind especially after watching what happened today. The average age of a FPM member is 23 and the leader is 70! That says a lot about the dynamics of this movement. It seems that many people find something different in Aoun compared to other Lebanese politicians and wartime figures.

2:01 AM, May 08, 2005  
Blogger Ramzi said...

GM: Re-read what I wrote.
I said IF his new plan is too weak it will fizzle out.


2:23 AM, May 08, 2005  

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